NFL Preseason Handicapping Basics–Part 2: NFL Preseason Coaching Strategy

 NFL Preseason Handicapping Basics Part 2: NFL Preseason Coach Strategy

In our previous article we gave an in-depth introduction to NFL Preseason Betting and Handicapping. For some reason, many people (aka "squares") consider NFL preseason gambling the province of action junkies and degenerates. The truth is that it could not be further from reality. The public, as'recreational' wagerers, isn't interested in betting on NFL Exhibition Play. However it attracts attention from professional and sharp' gamblers.

A common reason that people don't think it worth betting on NFL preseason games is the refrain, "No one cares who wins". That might be true at a macro-level. If you place a bet on a regular-season game, both teams are theoretically trying to win. This provides motivation. The winning team is the one that exerts greater effort and executes more efficiently.

This website has many articles about sports betting theory. You may have already noticed what the problem is. The main challenge in serious sports betting doesn't lie in picking winners. Rather, the goal is finding line value. Line value is an analytical, methodical process. If you do it right the wins and losses will automatically take care of itself and you can make money. The goal of a clairvoyant is not to be a sports handicapper, but to pick winners.

A saying goes that "a little information is a dangerous thing". Sports betting is no exception to this rule. The 'Squares believe there's a shortcut to what can be a difficult process. It is this same mentality which attracts people late at night to infomercials about real estate deals that are 'no-money down' and spam emails that promise that they will 'lose their weight overnight'. With their 'locks and games of the century', boiler room salesmen profit from this mentality. The recreational player can have a tendency, even when it has some validity, to over-rely or misuse the information.

NFL PRESEASON COACHING:

When handicapping a NFL football game during the regular season, there are often a number of factors that must be taken into consideration. This includes everything from injuries to weather to previous games. Although coaching strategies play an important part in NFL football, they must not be the only factor to consider. Preseason is an entirely different matter, and the coach sets all the agenda. The public has a perception that no one is trying to win. Often, coaches are too concerned with getting the team up and running on new formations or evaluating talents to care about the scoreboard.

"Coaching philosophies" aren't new. They have a significant influence on NFL preseason games. It's been around for some time, to the point where it's often referred to as 'baked in the line'. Even though it is well-known by recreational players, many take too simplistic approaches to coaching strategy and philosophy. Of course, they will receive a 'Football Annual' which reprints each NFL coach's preseason pointspread record. He'll say that those who have a winning record against ATS are more serious about preseason than those who have lost ATS records. This concept is actually more common to Canadian experts in sports betting. It is also used in handicapping the Canadian Football League.

Although the'square' will sometimes get the right result for the wrong reason, he's actually determining the ground's moisture as a predictive element of weather forecasting. The'sharp sports bettor' takes a more holistic approach, trying to obtain as much information about a coach's priorities in a particular game. The majority of coaches also have their own "process" for preparing the football team for the season. This is often well before they get to the NFL. Some coaches have earned a reputation for being 'always eager to win' in preseason games. They use them to evaluate personnel and get a baseline of the team's preparation. The coaches who are known for not wanting to lose might not actually have this attitude, but they use other criteria to assess the team's preparation and personnel status.

Each situation is different. The players know how the coach evaluates the performance of each player and the performance the team. This knowledge often reflects in their effort and focus. It is important for players to know that their team's success, and sometimes their place in the NFL, depends on how they perform in games. They take this much more seriously than players who don't know.

A common mistake recreational players make is to believe that a coach holds a particular 'philosophical belief' about preseason. This assumption can be reaffirmed throughout his coaching career. Although this is true to a certain extent, preseason games can be viewed in a situational manner by coaches. A coach who is taking over a basket team will approach preseason games differently to a Super Bowl winner with strong locker room leadership and a history of winning.

Last but not least, you must remember that coaching is only one part of the equation. While coaching may be the most important aspect of your handicap, it is not the only. Although the preseason is smaller than the regular season, performance in games and injuries, weather, and other areas of concern for handicappers are all part of the process. handicapping football in preparation for betting